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Sunday, February 4, 2007

Science and Politics Fighting to the Death
GlobalWarming item by Kevin Roeten

No one ever thought that politics had higher priority than science. But with ‘global warming’(GW) it seems many have chosen that route. And now the UN, made up of policymakers(input from 13 scientists), has written policy claiming 90% probability that GW is ‘manmade’. The policymakers have gotten most input from environmental organizations such as the Pew Center, the Sierra Club, and the Environmental Defense Fund. Incredibly, many of these organizations were once warning us of the perils of ‘global chilling’ back in 1974. 

One side insists you cannot ignore the recent warming of the earth. The other says data shows the earth has actually warmed only 0.8oC in the last 100 years. In fact, Dennis Avery and Fred Singer[Adjunct Scholars with the National Center of Policy Analysis(NCPA)] concludes that “Within the 90,000 year ice age cycles, global warming and cooling seem to be part of a 1500 year cycle of moderate temperature swings…” Scientific analysis of ice cores from the seabed of the Atlantic, Pacific, Arabian Sea, and three others, have revealed the same unmistakable 1500-year cycle. Data was also taken from past climate cycles documented from around the world from tree rings, ice cores, stalagmites and dust plumes, prehistoric villages and collapsed cultures, fossilized pollen and algae skeletons, titanium profiles, and niobium ions.

One side reports that temperatures haven’t been this warm in the last 12,000 years. But the thermometer wasn’t invented until 1714. One side insists that CO2 concentration in the atmosphere has risen over 50%. But past data indicate that CO2 changes over a million years do NOT correlate with temperature increases. Actually, CO2 concentrations have been at least 20x higher in the past than today(Singer/American Geophysical Society).

Some claim that huge ice sheets are melting, and breaking off the polar continents. Actually, Greenland is gaining ice mass, and satellites measuring Antarctica’s ice have found it to be gaining 45 billion tons/year. One side claims that sea levels will eventually cover populated areas. Actually, sea levels have been rising since the last Ice Age(20,000 years ago), but there is no evidence of any acceleration.

People seem to have ignored very recent scientific data proving that cosmic radiation from deep space directly increases cloud formation, which directly impacts warming. The sun’s magnetic field fluctuates, and when it is stronger(as it is now) tends to protect the earth and reduce cosmic radiation. The sun’s radiant heat and cosmic ray levels affect planetary warming and cooling as well. Multiple scientific studies(NASA & California Institute and Jet Propulsion Laboratory) show that Mars and Pluto are also undergoing ‘global warming’ at coinciding times. They’re pretty sure manmade influences there are not the culprit.

Rational people understand that the earth has a finite amount of CO2, and that total CO2 on earth eventually never changes. Most also understand that the major influence of ‘warming’ is water vapor(clouds), not CO2(<5%). Hence, radiation affecting cloud formation is the driving force behind any warming.

Unfortunately, mainstream media’s latest campaign is to stampede Americans into accepting higher taxes and rigid restrictions. Government and private studies have both calculated the Kyoto Protocol could cost the US $348 billion by 2012, would destroy 1.3 million jobs, and “substantially affect” standards of living. The Department of Energy estimated that Kyoto would cause gas prices to rise by 52%, and electricity by 86%. In fact, the Administration has already been spending >6 billion/yr on the promotion of technologies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. 

According to the Senate communications Director, Weather Channel’s Heidi Cullen has been violating their guidelines against political involvement. Recently she stated TV meteorologists who voice skepticism about ‘global warming’ should be decertified. Her documentary (Everything’s Cool) accuses the government of ‘criminal neglect’. Her co-host says any climate skeptic has no ‘validity’ or ‘credibility’. The Director also says that in the process, the Weather Channel has abandoned its commitment to “open, balanced dialogue” regarding global climate change.

It’s interesting to see that ‘sides’ to this debate seem to follow party lines. If you follow global warming debates, you’ve heard how activists and their media allies predicted ‘global cooling’ in the 1970’s, only to change their story in the 1980’s. Actually, Russian scientists predict[motls.blogspot.com/2007/01/peer-reviewed-global-cooling.html] global cooling to start about 2055 and last about half a century. But some Chinese scientists disagree, and say the cooling will start sooner—about twenty years from now. [www.springerlink.com/content/g28u12g2617j5021/fulltext.pdf]. It’s also interesting to note that Galileo, considered a social dinosaur, said “The crowd of fools who know nothing is infinite.” For Christians, it should be easy to dismiss those who scream about the end of the world from manmade global warming. Revelations states that when the ‘end’ comes, it will be by God’s hands—not man’s.

Kevin Roeten
http://kevinroeten.us/


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